Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 9.580704 10.983084 12.477016 14.182297 16.070138 18.091330 20.414051
2025-02-16 7.045127 8.868799 10.954529 13.497822 16.495628 19.896801 24.026308
2025-02-23 5.255233 7.240903 9.669918 12.816778 16.739041 21.418228 27.369489
2025-03-02 4.063780 6.106392 8.768588 12.414165 17.189765 23.141177 31.015619
2025-03-09 3.283508 5.353610 8.214586 12.332937 17.968933 25.261386 35.237694
2025-03-16 2.639932 4.666926 7.632970 12.109875 18.490460 27.033833 39.076628
2025-03-23 2.342253 4.435737 7.649128 12.691365 20.115873 30.329526 45.066636
2025-03-30 1.993958 4.057891 7.385814 12.816303 21.075218 32.741003 49.957005
2025-04-06 1.595925 3.518654 6.790554 12.358345 21.119085 33.837574 53.045732
2025-04-13 1.260395 3.020866 6.186603 11.804808 20.945516 34.572741 55.613616
2025-04-20 1.139115 2.906656 6.217220 12.273798 22.365404 37.694126 61.729928
2025-04-27 1.101833 2.954698 6.537527 13.247816 24.633821 42.174869 69.999926
2025-05-04 1.010724 2.878893 6.632170 13.859514 26.386587 46.004671 77.542613
2025-05-11 0.865830 2.654118 6.415553 13.899660 27.197274 48.419780 83.062273
2025-05-18 0.711319 2.369656 6.040426 13.610015 27.423214 49.917289 87.232885
2025-05-25 0.591029 2.138587 5.738891 13.421384 27.797632 51.652570 91.820799
2025-06-01 0.507637 1.982699 5.572847 13.470767 28.580785 54.067045 97.539758
2025-06-08 0.423037 1.798613 5.315526 13.309090 28.964121 55.826362 102.265630
2025-06-15 0.398557 1.790499 5.462872 13.983019 30.914154 60.275403 111.455341
2025-06-22 0.349091 1.688216 5.370621 14.145352 31.912675 63.144452 118.159656
2025-06-29 0.277387 1.484846 4.996077 13.664769 31.654333 63.838458 121.304907
2025-07-06 0.214423 1.285061 4.592952 13.072977 31.130058 64.030035 123.599857
2025-07-13 0.199074 1.267718 4.676437 13.586992 32.812707 68.168348 132.637302